UPDATE: On my home page I have a 2011/2012 Renew/Cancel Tracker. Click on the 2nd tab on the top of the page. So as a result of having that tab, I won’t be updating this post anymore. It’s silly to update both. But just click the 2nd tab on the top of the page and it will take you right to it with all the latest information. Thanks!!!
For some shows, the writing is on the wall and you can tell when the party’s over. Other shows are plugging right along so there really is no room for question or doubt about their broadcast future. Then there are those shows in the middle lovingly referred to as “Bubble Shows.” Bubble shows are shows that could go either way and are probably the hardest to predict. Their fate lies in the hands of many different things and it’s different each time…ratings, sometimes (although very rarely) fan campaigns to save them, advertisers, the fate of other shows on their networks, a network’s unique renewal history (CBS typically cancels their lowest rated comedy even if it is doing decently), or a #1 show’s star completely going crazy and possibly canceling said show making room for a bubble show. As of today, Feb 28th 2011, here is a quick breakout of where we stand with the definite renewals and cancellations:
The Whole Truth
The Good Guys
Glory Daze (only cable show I’m including since this was just announced.)
Smallville (Final Season)
Big Bang Theory
The Biggest Loser
The Cleveland Show
Two and Half Men (this could change depending on what happens with crazy Charlie Sheen)
How I Met Your Mother (and this is for TWO seasons!!)
Survivor (for 2 more seasons!!!)
Parks and Recreation
The Bachelor (really? ugh.)
UPDATE AS OF (3.24.11):
UPDATE AS OF (3.28.11):
The Amazing Race
There may be shows I have forgotten about and if I did, let me know and I will add them to the list. But to date, these are definites. Every thing else right now is TBD. But there are certain shows which are leading towards cancellation and certain shows leaning towards renewals. The following are examples of “relatively easy to predict fates”:
Pretty Sure These Are Going To Be Goners:
No Ordinary Family
Off the Map
Break Out the Bubbly Because These Shows Are Coming Back:
Mike & Molly
The Vampire Diaries
Thanks to the AWESOME people at TVbythenumbers.com for their breakout of shows. God love those people for making it easy to follow!!! Aside from all the shows listed, everything else is up in the air.
You know what I think? I know you are on the edge of your seat right now. Networks have too many shows!!! We are one day away from March 1st and there are still “mid-season” shows yet to premiere? Huh? To me, a mid-season premiere is January…maybe the first or second week in Feb at the latest. But March and April? That’s almost a summer premiere not mid-season. Not to me anyway. I think networks are dumping so much money into the mid-season replacement shows that if something hasn’t failed enough to replace it with a new show, the networks have nowhere to put these shows. Look at what is happening to Cougar Town right now. A great show is off the air for 12 weeks to give Mr Sunshine a chance because there was nowhere else to put it. What’s the point? Cougar Town is doing just fine. You don’t need Mr Sunshine. And you run the risk of losing viewers of a successful show because people can’t find it and think it’s possibly been pulled! Networks are so desperate to try to “find the next big show” that they destroying network television. With all the pulling and rescheduling and time slot changes no wonder ratings suck. And I hate to say it because I am one of those annoying TV bloggers, but with the advent of blogs, it’s so much easier to find information about ratings on TV shows that people are more educated on what moving a show to a certain night can mean and what certain rating points in key demos (adults 18-49) mean to the future of their favorite shows. For example, when a show moves to the “dreaded” Friday night, people now know it’s not a good sign for a show. Why? Because unless you are a loser like me, you have a life and are doing things on Friday nights (and Saturdays for that matter.) Friday night is not a big TV viewing night. So it’s a sign that the network is burying a show on a night no one watches TV anyway and now that show isn’t taking up a prime spot during the week.
It also makes me wonder if websites that analyze the ratings may actually be hurting (and helping) shows. If I see after 3 weeks that a show isn’t looking good in the ratings and a site tells me that it isn’t looking good to stay on the air, I stop watching it. Unless I absolutely love the show. But I usually stop watching because there is SOOOOOO much on TV these days that I am not going to waste my time watching a show that won’t make it. Now let’s say I didn’t read that information and kept right on watching and the show started to gain some momentum. Maybe it stays. I don’t know. The people who do these analyses of shows have a pretty good handle on what works and what doesn’t so I find it hard to believe that a show that is losing viewers would somehow start to gain them. But I don’t know. I would love other people’s opinion on that though.
So this is where we stand. Who knows where this all shakes out but if you don’t see your favorite shows on here, make sure you keep watching!!!!